Saturday:
1.Bundesliga:
Hannover-Bochum: Hannover -0.5 @ 1.94
Hannover is the hootest team in the league 5W in last 6. They are playing very confident football right now and are also a strong home team (last game was a 3-0 winner over league leader wolfsburg)
Bochum struggled a lot over the last month, but got a much needed win during the week over lowly gladbach. They are dangerous away and always able to score, but the value is clearly with Hannover in this match.
Schalke- Stuttgart: Schalke pk,-0.5 @ 1.962
Easy pick here for me...Schalke still unbeaten since changing the coach. they are one of the strongest home teams in league and stuttgart suddenly struggles. in last two matches they lost against bottom club Freiburg and gave away a lead at home during the week to Bremen to get the second loss in a row...i smell a bad streak starting here.
+ Stuttgart got a bad history playing at Schalke
Bremen- Hamburg: Hamburg +0.5,+1 @ 1.99 AND Over 3 goals @ 2.08
That'S a derby everybody is always looking for during the season. Usually these derbies are high scoring between the two clubs.
Bremen one of the top club in league is not as dominant as they were last season, but should normally still be able to get the win at home, but Hamburg is a special situation right now. After a disappointing start they sacked the coach 10 days ago and since then they are playing up to their real potential (2-0 win at Dortmund and 4-0 win at home). This team is motivated and confident again..and playing against bremen takes the home-advantage away from bremen..it's a derby and a pretty open game.that's why i like the + goals for a hot team.
The over is also obviously: Bremen is not very solid on defense..that'S why they always go forward..especially if they have to. And i am pretty sure hamburg will score today.if hamburg scores just once bremen will open up the defense and there will be either bremen scores or Hamburg on the counter attack (where they are very dangerous). I would not be surprised to see a 2-2 result.
Wolfsburg- Mainz: Wolfsburg -0.5,-1 @ 1.80
Easy pick again..hot team especially at home against surprise of the season. but mainz not that solid in away games, where they are missing their strong home support. (great value at intetops, most books have it at -1)
Gladbach- München: Under 2.5,3 goals @ 1.84
München did not score in Gladbach in last 4 games , dated back to 1998. Last two matches ended 0-0. Also Bayern will look a little bit ahead to the big match against juventus on wednesday. That combined with the fact they got two big wins during the week, which brought them back into contention in the league will lead to a slow and controlled game by munich. They did the same in their last away game in Rostock (1-0 win)..it was like : we are happy with the 0-0 draw and maybe we can win, but dont put too much energy in it.
Gladbach is always very confident at home against münchen and producing good results. but they have problems on offense. they are coming off two big losses during the week (combined 0-5 goals) with a suspended striker Neuville. He is the only weapon is gladbach offense (9 of 11 goals). if München keeps him down there will be no scoring.
I dont see any team scoring more than one goal here.
For those looking at the side (i saw a münchen pick around here). It's ok and they might win, but it'S definetely no great value any more. You could get it at 1.95 earlier during the week. Bayern can win, cause they are the better team, but what gives me enough reasons to stay away from the side are: the big game against Juventus ahead, their history playing at Gladbach, it'S an away game, probably low scoring, + FIRST GAME for Gladbach with NEW Coach (which usually gives extra motivation).
Regionalliga Nord:
Kiel- Hertha Berlin: Kiel to win @ 1.50 !! 2 units!!
Strongest home team in league against one of the wekest away teams.
Köln- Uerdingen: Uerdingen to win @ 2.4
Uerdingen right now the top team in league, unbeatenin last 6 games, playing at Köln which is always dangerous. But a special situation here. Köln' team is the Under age 23 team of the Köln team in 2.Bundesliga. The first team played yesterday in Fürth and had to take 3 players from the Regionalliga team due to injuries, so they will be weaker than normal.
2-team parlay: Osnabrück to win vs. Wolfsburg @ 1.36 AND Paderborn to win vs. CHemnitz @ 1.42 for a combined 1.931
2 mismatches with the stronger team playing at home
BOL to all
